原文摘要

The old timers who built the early web are coding with AI like it's 1995.

Think about it: They gave blockchain the sniff test and walked away. Ignored crypto (and yeah, we're not rich now). NFTs got a collective eye roll.

But AI? Different story. The same folks who hand-coded HTML while listening to dial-up modems sing are now vibe-coding with the kids. Building things. Breaking things. Giddy about it.

We Gen X'ers have seen enough gold rushes to know the real thing. This one's got all the usual crap—bad actors, inflated claims, VCs throwing money at anything with "AI" in the pitch deck. Gross behavior all around. Normal for a paradigm shift, but still gross.

The people who helped wire up the internet recognize what's happening. When the folks who've been through every tech cycle since gopher start acting like excited newbies again, that tells you something.

— Christina Wodtke

<p>Tags: <a href="https://simonwillison.net/tags/ai-assisted-programming">ai-assisted-programming</a>, <a href="https://simonwillison.net/tags/ai">ai</a>, <a href="https://simonwillison.net/tags/christina-wodtke">christina-wodtke</a>, <a href="https://simonwillison.net/tags/llms">llms</a>, <a href="https://simonwillison.net/tags/generative-ai">generative-ai</a></p>

原文链接

进一步信息揣测

• 早期互联网从业者对技术趋势的直觉更准确：经历过多次技术周期的资深开发者对区块链、加密货币和NFT持怀疑态度，但对AI表现出罕见热情，暗示AI可能比前几轮技术泡沫更具实质价值。
• AI热潮中的“淘金乱象”内幕：尽管AI被行业老手认可，但当前生态中存在大量不良行为者、夸大宣传和VC盲目投资（只要项目带“AI”标签就能融资），这种泡沫化现象与过去的技术范式转移如出一辙。
• 资深开发者的实践信号：当经历过90年代互联网泡沫的从业者开始像新手一样积极投入AI编码时，往往标志着技术拐点的真实性——这一群体对技术落地的判断比市场炒作更可靠。
• 技术周期经验的隐性价值：Gen X世代通过多次“淘金热”积累的筛选能力，能快速识别技术浪潮中的核心价值，避开短期投机陷阱（如加密货币和NFT），这种经验难以通过公开资料获取。
• 行业内部的“冷热”分化：区块链和NFT曾被主流媒体热捧，但早期互联网构建者私下对其冷淡；而AI在内部圈子的活跃参与（如“vibe-coding”文化）可能预示着更持久的技术渗透。
• 范式转移期的灰色操作：技术变革阶段普遍存在资本裹挟、夸大宣传等“恶心但常见”的行为，行业老手默认这是必经过程，但会选择性参与真正有价值的部分。